The Reserve Bank is predicting the economy will grow by 3.4 per cent this financial year, slightly slower than the 3.7 per cent predicted in February, after adjusting for inflation.

It will grow in line with the median forecast of economists surveyed by the ANZ Bank.

The Reserve is forecasting the economy would grow by 2.6 per cent next financial year.

The economy is expected to grow by 1.8 per cent in 2018, down from the 1.9 per cent projected in February.

“The economy has contracted by 3 per cent on average in the past five years, with the slowdown in the economic cycle affecting both household and business spending,” the Reserve said in its latest forecast.

“While households and businesses are likely to have seen some of the strongest contraction in the last two decades, the current slowdown is largely confined to households.”

The Reserve has been expecting to report its annual economic outlook on Thursday.

It has been widely expected that the economy was expected to slow by a quarter this financial month after adjusting to the effects of the global financial crisis.

The economy grew at an annual rate of 3.1 per cent last year, which was slightly lower than the forecast of 3 per in February 2017.

However, the economy is now expected to expand by 2 per cent, up from the 2.8 to 3.0 per cent forecast in February this year.

“In the medium term, the outlook for growth is more positive, with growth expected to be moderate and moderate-term inflation below 2 per per cent,” the RBA said.

On Friday, the Reserve announced a number of measures to try to reduce uncertainty about the economy, including allowing banks to borrow from the Reserve for the first time since April 2019.

In the meantime, the Government will announce further measures to help ensure a smooth transition to the new monetary policy regime in a speech on Friday afternoon.

Topics:economy,government-and-politics,government,public-sector,reform-and‑reform,budget,budget-and-$15,business-economics-and-“capital”,market-economy-policy,industry,jobs,business,financial-services,annual-financial-and-‘agencies,revenue,government—business-organisations,corporate-governance,coronavirus-and—international-financial,australiaFirst posted November 14, 2019 15:47:00Contact Adrian Whitemore


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